Is La Nina coming?
Given current conditions and model predictions, the chance of La Niña during September-November 2020 is estimated to be around 60%, with about a 40% chance for ENSO-neutral conditions to continue. … Sub-surface water temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific have become mainly below average since April 2020.
What is a La Nina weather pattern?
La Nina refers to the periodic cooling of ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific. Typically, La Nina events occur every 3 to 5 years or so, but on occasion can occur over successive years. La Nina represents the cool phase of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.
How are El Nino and La Nina events predicted?
The cold sea surface temperature extends toward the equator. Together, these events lead to a coupling between sea surface temperature and surface winds in the equatorial Pacific in the spring, triggering La Niña. Falling sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Warm Pool ultimately trigger El Niño.
Can we predict ENSO?
ENSO remains a problem worth solving – there are few if any natural semi-regular climate signals whose prediction can have such widespread impact – but we are not there yet. We continue to be surprised by the diversity of ENSO events. Regular oscillations in the 1960s and 1970s shaped early understanding of ENSO.
Is La Nina wet or dry?
Where El Niño is wet, La Niña is dry. While El Niño conditions and their seasonal impacts look very different from normal, La Niña conditions often bring winters that are typical — only more so.
Is La Nina warm or cold?
La Niña is sometimes referred to as the cold phase of ENSO and El Niño as the warm phase of ENSO. These deviations from normal surface temperatures can have large-scale impacts not only on ocean processes, but also on global weather and climate.
Which condition happens during La Nina?
La Niña is a weather phenomena characterized by unusually cold ocean temperature in the Equatorial Pacific which causes increased numbers of tropical storms in the Pacific Ocean. Disease related to contaminated water due to flooding, such as acute gastroenteritis, typhoid fever, cholera and hepatitis A.
When was the last period of La Nina?
Recent years when La Niña Modoki events occurred include 1973–74, 1975–76, 1983–84, 1988–89, 1998–99, 2000–01, 2008–09, 2010–11 and 2016–17.
Does La Nina mean more rain?
La Niña blows all of this warm water to the western Pacific. This means that places like Indonesia and Australia can get much more rain than usual. However, the cold water in the eastern Pacific causes less rain clouds to form there. So, places like the southwestern United States can be much drier than usual.
Why are El Niño events more frequent than La Niña?
This coordinated change in both ocean temperatures and the atmosphere begins an El Niño event. … El Niño is often (but not always) followed by La Niña the following year, particularly if the El Niño is strong. During La Niña conditions, the easterly trade winds near the equator get even stronger than they usually are.
What causes a La Nina event?
La Niña is caused by a build-up of cooler-than-normal waters in the tropical Pacific, the area of the Pacific Ocean between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn. Unusually strong, eastward-moving trade winds and ocean currents bring this cold water to the surface, a process known as upwelling.
What does Enso stand for?
El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Is El Nino or La Nina better for snow?
While El Niño winters tend to mean a wetter winter in Colorado, La Niña winters often mean a drier season. This could mean less-than-normal snowfall. Though Colorado may not see as much snow during the upcoming winter, the Pacific Northwest will likely see higher snow totals if La Niña conditions end up taking place.